DAX DAILY SIGNAL — 2026-02-26

    Trade on Friday 27 Feb 2026
    · Generated 2026-02-27 08:20:31 CET
  

✨ NEW SIGNAL — Generated 08:20 CET · Trade on Friday

⚠️ HALF SIZE — SHORT signal

▼ SHORT

Prob(up) = 0.375 · Confidence 12.4%

HALF SIZE (0.5x)

Reduced — SHORT signal

Entry

DAX Open ~25,289

Friday open (~09:00 CET)

Stop Loss

65 pts from open

SELL → stop at Open + 65

Exit

Market Close

~17:30 CET — close entire position

Risk per trade

1% of equity

0.5x x 2% base risk = 1%

SIZING RULES CHECK

	Rule	Condition	Status	Value
⚠️	R1	Half SHORT trades	HALF	Signal is SHORT
✅	R2	Skip streak >= 5	OK	Streak: 1
✅	R4	Skip ATR% > 2.0%	OK	ATR% = 1.03%
✅	R5	Skip VIX > 25	OK	VIX = 18.6
✅	R6	Boost after 2-3 losses	OK	Streak: 1
✅	R7	Half January	OK	Month: Feb
✅	R8	Half BB width Q4 (wide)	OK	BB=3.7%, Q75=6.6%

MARKET CONDITIONS

VIX

18.6

5d chg: -1.6 · Normal

ATR%

1.03%

ATR(14) = 261 pts · Normal

Bollinger Width

3.7%

Q75=6.6% · Tight (Q1) ✅

Vol Trend (5d/21d)

0.90x

Normal

Day / Month

Fri

Feb

Losing Streak

Normal

RECENT TRADES

2026-02-26 SHORT -672026-02-25 LONG +1242026-02-24 SHORT -722026-02-23 SHORT -732026-02-20 LONG +191

60-DAY PERFORMANCE

23 wins 37 losses +737 pips 38% win rate Daily P&L Cumulative

HOW TO TRADE

1. Sell DAX at open (~09:00 CET).

2. Stop: SELL → stop at Open + 65. Hard stop, set immediately.

3. Exit at close (~17:30 CET). No overnight holds.

Entry within 5 min of open is fine · Exit 5-15 min before close is fine · CFDs/futures/spread bets all work · Miss the open = skip the day · Stop is 65 index points

Generated: 2026-02-27 08:20:31 CET · Viewed: 2026-02-27 08:20 CET · Mode: GENERATE
Backtest v2 (4yr): 56.9% dir, Sharpe 2.38 (sized), +8,773 pips, MaxDD -771 · Sizing v2